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12월31일 토트넘 vs 본머스 잉글랜드 프리미어리그 생중계,스포츠분석,스포츠중계
● 토트넘 (잉글랜드 1부 5위 / 패승승승패)
지난 경기에서는 토트넘의 약점이 모두 나왔다. 4백을 모두 풀백으로 채워야 할 정도로 빈약해진 수비의 뎁스도 드러나는 모습이었고, 상대의 압박에 미드필더진의 패스가 족족 끊기는 모습. 사실 매디슨이 없는 상황에서, 그 자리에 꾸준히 활약을 기대하기 어려운 백업이 없다는 점이 드러난 셈이다. 본머스가 상당히 전방압박으로 밸런스를 잘 맞추고 있는 양상인데, 지난 경기에서의 단점이 또 드러나도 이상하지는 않을 것.
– 결장자 : 화이트먼(GK / C급), 로메로(CB / A급), 페리시치(LW / B급), 매디슨(AM / A급), 솔로몬(RW / B급), 반더벤(CB / A급), 벤탄쿠르(CM / B급), 세세뇽(LW / C급), 비수마(CM / A급) ➤ 총 전력 대비 -20%
⦁ 본머스 (잉글랜드 1부 12위 / 무승승승승)
확실히 상승세가 가장 가파른 팀이라고 할 수 있을 듯. 번리전을 기점으로, 팀의 컬러가 자리를 잡으면서 수비마저도 좋아진 느낌이다. 주포라고 할 수 있는 솔랑케도 벌써 12골을 돌파하는 등, 중위권에서 상당히 파란을 일으키는 모습이다. 확실히 전방에서의 압박으로 상대를 당황시키거나, 가둬버리고 일방적으로 공격을 퍼붓는 모습은 꽤 인상적.
– 결장자 : 프레드릭스(RB / C급), 마르콘데스(LW / C급), 아담스(DM / C급), 켈리(CB / B급), 랜돌프(GK / C급), 트라오레(AM / C급), 쿡(CM / A급), 케르케즈(LB / A급) ➤ 총 전력 대비 -13%
➋ 베팅 데이터
○ 기대 득점(xG) : 2.15골 vs 1.49골
○ 양측 모두의 득점 가능성(BTTS) : 73%
○ 양 팀 합산 기대 득점 : 3.61골
○ 앞선 상대 전적 : 13전 9승 2패 2패 (토트넘 우세)
○ 앞선 맞대결에서의 언더/오버 : 언더 (46%) (3.5 기준)
○ 앞선 전적에서 두 팀이 모두 득점한 경우(BTTS) : 38%
➌ 주요 외신 예측
[Predictz] 2-0 (토트넘 승)
➍ 경기 양상 & 추천 베팅
토트넘이 꽤 위험한 경기가 될 듯. 본머스의 상승세와 강력한 압박이라는 키워드가 상당히 잘 통하고 있다는 점을 장점으로 들 수 있을 것으로 본다. 물론 토트넘이 매디슨의 이탈에도 꾸준히 공격적인 성과를 내고 있다는 점에는 주목해야 할 필요가 있겠지만, 결국 문제는 수비의 뎁스가 꽤 망가진 상황이라는 점.
➎ 3줄 요약
[일반 승/무/패] 무승부 (추천 x)
[핸디캡 / -1.0] 본머스 승 (추천 x)
[언더오버 / 3.5] 오버 (추천 o)
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