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02월26일 첼시 vs 리버풀 잉글랜드 캐피털 원 컵 생중계,스포츠분석,스포츠중계
⦁ 첼시 (잉글랜드 1부 10위 / 패패승승무)
이 경기에 대한 동기부여는 크다. 냉정하게 리그 순위로 유럽대항전을 장담할 수 없는 상황. 따라서 첼시가 카라바오컵 우승을 해서라도 다음 시즌 컨퍼런스라도 나가야 하는 상황을 만들려고 할 것. 일단 희망적인 것은 지난 맨시티전에서 역습으로 상대를 꽤 위협하는 모습을 보여준 바 있었으며, 수비력도 홀란드에게 한 골을 허용한 것을 빼면 도쿠의 드리블을 제어하는 모습은 제법 괜찮은 면모를 보여준 바 있었다.
– 결장자 : 바디아실(CB / B급), 추쿠에메카(MF / B급), 우고추쿠(MF / B급), 쿠쿠렐라(DF / B급), 제임스(RB / A급), 산체스(GK / A급), 라비아(DM / B급), 포파나(CB / B급) ➤ 총 전력 대비 -14%
● 리버풀 (잉글랜드 1부 1위 / 승패승승승)
루턴타운을 잡았고, 이 일정을 맞이하게 된다. 리버풀 입장에서는 직전 대결에서 4-1로 이긴 전적이 있어서, 나름대로 할만한 상대를 만났다고 볼 여지가 크지만 상황이 녹록하지는 않다. 당시에는 압박 싸움에서 압도적인 우위를 보여주면서 상대 중원을 무너뜨리는 모습을 보여준 바 있었는데, 현재는 리버풀의 부상자가 많은 상태고 주중 경기까지 치러서 압박의 강도를 확신하기는 어려울 수 있는 상황이다.
– 결장자 : 알리송(GK / A급), 마팁(CB / A급), 도크(RW / C급), 존스(CM / B급), 코나테(CB / A급), 소보슬라이(CM / A급), 티아고(CM / C급), 조타(FW / A급), 아놀드(RB / A급) ➤ 총 전력 대비 -13%
➋ 베팅 데이터
○ 기대 득점(xG) : 1.91골 vs 1.59골
○ 양측 모두의 득점 가능성(BTTS) : 70%
○ 양 팀 합산 기대 득점 : 4.00골
○ 앞선 상대 전적 : 44전 12승 18무 14패 (리버풀 우세)
○ 앞선 맞대결에서의 언더/오버 : 언더 (68%)
○ 앞선 전적에서 두 팀이 모두 득점한 경우(BTTS) : 55%
➌ 주요 외신 예측
[Betting closed] 2-1 (첼시 승)
➍ 경기 양상 & 추천 베팅
그동안 첼시와 리버풀은 전력 차이에 상관없이 무승부가 많이 나왔던 편. 이 패턴이 이어질 가능성도 없지는 않다고 보는데, 압도적으로 직전 경기에서는 리버풀이 승리를 거두었지만, 결국 현재 리버풀의 스쿼드 상황과 주중 경기 이슈라는 변수는 상당히 크다. 첼시도 이 경기에 대한 동기 부여는 매우 크다고 보는 것이 합당할 것.
➎ 3줄 요약
[일반 승/무/패] 무승부 (추천 o)
[핸디캡 / +1.0] 첼시 승 (추천 x)
[언더오버 / 2.5] 언더 (추천 x)
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